
The right-wing faction „Europe of Nations and Freedom“ (ENF), according to a poll, should be represented in the new European Parliament with almost twice as many MPs as it currently has. The Conservative and Social Democratic party organizations will therefore lose a lot of votes in the elections of 23 to 26 May, the daily newspaper Bild reports in its Saturday issue.
This was the result of a survey by Insa Institute in cooperation with other survey institutes in six European countries. In addition to the right-wing ENF, only the Liberals are seen as winners. Their fraction ALDE can therefore expect 101 instead of 68 seats.
Are EPP and Social Democrats losing majority?
The ENF, which includes the FPÖ, the Italian Lega and Marine LePens Rassemblement National of France, is among the pollsters who, according to the polls, can improve their mandate to 67 out of 37. Right-wing parties are the strongest force in three of the six countries polling the European elections.
In France it is the Rassemblement National (National Collection Movement, Note) with 23 percent, in Italy the Lega with 33.4 percent and in Poland the European-critical PIS with 42 percent. According to the survey, the FPÖ will finish third in the poll in Austria with 24 percent.
According to the forecast, the conservative EPP, which includes the CDU and the CSU in addition to the ÖVP, is therefore expected to lose 43 seats to 174 seats, with the S & D Social Democratic Party losing even more, with 45 seats to 141. Thus unlike five years ago, these two groups no longer held a majority in order to elect, for example, EPP’s leading candidate Manfred Weber as head of the EU Commission.
Greens are also likely to shrink
Accordingly, the Greens would shrink by eight seats to 44, while the right-wing conservative and Euro-critical ECR faction would shrink by 24 to 51 seats. The Left (GUE) lose a seat to 51 seats, according to the poll, and the right-wing populists of the EFDD gain a seat to 42.
The polls were collected in Germany and Austria by Insa, in Italy by the polling institute SWG, in Spain by SigmaDos, in France by Ifop and in Poland by IBRIS.